Potential predictability ofIndian summer monsoon rainfall in NCEP CFSv2
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts
The seasonal prediction skill of the Asian summer monsoon is assessed using retrospective predictions (1982–2009) from the ECMWF System 4 (SYS4) and NCEP CFS version 2 (CFSv2) seasonal prediction systems. In both SYS4 and CFSv2, a cold bias of sea-surface temperature (SST) is found over the equatorial Pacific, North Atlantic, Indian Oceans and over a broad region in the Southern Hemisphere rela...
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Subseasonal forecast skill over the broadly defined North American (NAM), West African (WAM) and Asian (AM) summer monsoon regions is investigated using three Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) at sub-monthly lead times. Extended Logistic Regression (ELR) is used to produce probabilistic forecasts of weekly and week 3–4 averages of precipitation with starts in May–Aug, over the 1999–2010 period....
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Indochina is located between two extensively researched components of the Asian monsoon system: the Indian subcontinent and southeast–east Asia. Highly correlated with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Niño-3 sea surface temperatures, the interannual variation of Indochina monsoon rainfall is caused by a mechanism different from the two aforementioned regions. This mechanism c...
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An understanding of the limit on potential predictability is crucial for developing appropriate tools for extended-range prediction of active/break spells of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). The global low-frequency changes in climate modulate the annual cycle of the ISM and can influence the intrinsic predictability limit of the ISM intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs). Using 104-year (1901–2004)...
متن کاملRelationship between ocean mean temperatures and Indian summer monsoon rainfall
M. M. Ali,* P. V. Nagamani,1 N. Sharma,1 R. T. Venu Gopal,2 M. Rajeevan,3 G. J. Goni4 and Mark A. Bourassa5 1Department of Space, National Remote Sensing Centre, Hyderabad, India 2Ministry of Earth Sciences, Indian National Center for Ocean Information Services, Hyderabad, India 3Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, India 4Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1942-2466,1942-2466
DOI: 10.1002/2015ms000542